Ƙungiyar Karfe ta Duniya (Worldsteel) da ke Brussels ta fitar da hasashenta na ɗan gajeren lokaci na 2021 da 2022. Worldsteel ta yi hasashen cewa buƙatar ƙarfe za ta ƙaru da kashi 5.8 cikin 100 a 2021 don isa kusan tan biliyan 1.88 na metric.
Yawan fitar da ƙarfe ya ragu da kashi 0.2 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2022, buƙatar ƙarfe za ta ƙara samun ƙaruwar kashi 2.7 cikin ɗari don isa kusan tan biliyan 1.925 na metric.
Hasashen da ake yi a yanzu, in ji Worldsteel, ya ɗauka cewa "ci gaba da yaduwar cutar [COVID-19] a karo na biyu ko na uku zai daidaita a kwata na biyu kuma za a sami ci gaba mai ɗorewa kan allurar riga-kafi, wanda zai ba da damar komawa ga al'ada a manyan ƙasashe masu amfani da ƙarfe."
"Duk da mummunan tasirin da annobar ta yi wa rayuka da abubuwan more rayuwa, masana'antar ƙarfe ta duniya ta yi sa'ar kawo ƙarshen shekarar 2020 da ƙaramin raguwar buƙatar ƙarfe," in ji Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, shugaban Kwamitin Tattalin Arziki na Duniya.
Kwamitin ya ce har yanzu akwai "rashin tabbas sosai a sauran shekarar 2021," yana mai cewa ci gaban kwayar cutar da ci gaban allurar riga-kafi, janye manufofin kuɗi da na kuɗi masu tallafawa, siyasa ta ƙasa da kuma rikicin ciniki duk na iya shafar murmurewa da aka bayyana a cikin hasashensa.
A cikin ƙasashe masu tasowa, "Bayan faduwar tattalin arziki a kwata na biyu na 2020, masana'antu gabaɗaya sun sake farfaɗowa cikin sauri a kwata na uku, galibi saboda matakan ƙarfafa tattalin arziki masu yawa da kuma rage buƙatar da ke taruwa," in ji Worldsteel.
Duk da haka, ƙungiyar ta lura cewa matakan ayyuka sun kasance ƙasa da matakin kafin barkewar annoba a ƙarshen 2020. Sakamakon haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a ƙasashen da suka ci gaba ta sami raguwar kashi 12.7 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020.
An yi hasashen cewa Worldsteel, "Za mu ga farfadowa mai yawa a shekarar 2021 da 2022, tare da karuwar kashi 8.2 da kashi 4.2, bi da bi. Duk da haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a shekarar 2022 ba za ta kai matsayin 2019 ba."
Duk da yawan kamuwa da cuta, tattalin arzikin Amurka ya sami damar farfadowa sosai daga farkon lokacin, godiya ga wani ɓangare na babban tallafin kuɗi wanda ya taimaka wajen amfani da shi. Wannan ya taimaka wajen ƙera kayayyaki masu ɗorewa, amma gabaɗaya buƙatar ƙarfe a Amurka ta faɗi da kashi 18 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020.
Gwamnatin Biden ta sanar da wani kudiri na dala tiriliyan 2 wanda ya kunshi tanade-tanaden zuba jari mai yawa a fannin ababen more rayuwa na tsawon shekaru da dama. Shirin zai kasance karkashin tattaunawa a Majalisa.
Kusan duk wani shiri da aka yi zai sami fa'ida ga buƙatar ƙarfe. Duk da haka, duk da wannan da kuma ci gaba mai sauri a allurar rigakafi, farfaɗowar buƙatar ƙarfe za ta kasance cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci ta hanyar raunin farfadowa a ɓangarorin gine-gine da makamashi marasa zama. Ana sa ran ɓangaren kera motoci zai farfaɗo sosai.
A Tarayyar Turai, sassan da ke shan ƙarfe sun sha wahala sosai daga matakan kulle-kullen farko a shekarar 2020 amma sun fuskanci koma-baya mafi ƙarfi fiye da yadda ake tsammani bayan kulle-kullen saboda matakan tallafi na gwamnati da kuma buƙatar da ta yi yawa, in ji Worldsteel.
Saboda haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a shekarar 2020 a ƙasashe 27 na Tarayyar Turai da Birtaniya sun ƙare da raguwar kashi 11.4 cikin ɗari fiye da yadda ake tsammani.
"Ana sa ran farfadowar tattalin arzikin a shekarar 2021 da 2022 zai kasance cikin koshin lafiya, wanda hakan ke faruwa ne sakamakon farfadowar tattalin arzikin a dukkan fannoni masu amfani da karfe, musamman bangaren kera motoci da kuma ayyukan gine-gine na jama'a," in ji Worldsteel. Zuwa yanzu, ci gaban tattalin arzikin EU bai kawo cikas ga karuwar cutar COVID-19 ba, amma yanayin lafiyar nahiyar "ya ci gaba da tabarbarewa," in ji kungiyar.
Kamfanin sarrafa wutar lantarki mai ɗauke da tarkacen da ake shigo da su daga waje (EAF) na Turkiyya "ya fuskanci raguwa sosai a shekarar 2019 saboda matsalar kuɗi ta shekarar 2018, [amma] ya ci gaba da farfado da tattalin arzikin da ya fara a ƙarshen shekarar 2019 saboda ayyukan gini," in ji Worldsteel. Tsarin farfaɗo da tattalin arzikin da ke wurin zai ci gaba, kuma ana sa ran buƙatar ƙarfe za ta koma matakin matsalar kuɗi a shekarar 2022, in ji ƙungiyar.
Tattalin arzikin Koriya ta Kudu, wata ƙasa da ta shigo da tarkacen da ba a cika amfani da su ba, ya tsere wa koma-baya mai yawa a fannin yawan kayayyakin da ake samarwa a cikin gida sakamakon ingantaccen tsarin kula da annobar, kuma ya sami ci gaba mai kyau a fannin saka hannun jari da gine-gine.
Duk da haka, buƙatar ƙarfe ta ragu da kashi 8 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020 saboda raguwar sassan kera motoci da na jigilar jiragen ruwa. A cikin 2021-22, waɗannan sassa biyu za su jagoranci farfadowar, wanda za a ƙara tallafawa ta hanyar ci gaba da ƙarfafa jarin wurare da shirye-shiryen kayayyakin more rayuwa na gwamnati. Duk da haka, ba a sa ran buƙatar ƙarfe a shekarar 2022 za ta koma matakin kafin annobar.
Indiya ta sha wahala sosai sakamakon tsawaita dokar kulle mai tsauri, wanda ya kawo tsaiko ga yawancin ayyukan masana'antu da gine-gine. Duk da haka, tattalin arzikin ya fara murmurewa sosai tun watan Agusta, (in ji Worldsteel), tare da sake dawo da ayyukan gwamnati da kuma yawan buƙatar amfani da kayayyaki.
Bukatar ƙarfe a Indiya ta faɗi da kashi 13.7 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020, amma ana sa ran za ta sake farfaɗowa da kashi 19.8 cikin ɗari don zarce matakin 2019 a shekarar 2021, wanda hakan zai iya zama labari mai daɗi ga masu fitar da tarkacen ƙarfe. Manufar gwamnati mai mai da hankali kan ci gaba za ta haifar da ƙaruwar buƙatar ƙarfe a Indiya, yayin da jarin kamfanoni masu zaman kansu zai ɗauki lokaci mai tsawo kafin ya farfaɗo.
Tattalin arzikin Japan ya fuskanci mummunan koma-baya sakamakon annobar saboda katsewar ayyukan tattalin arziki da kuma rashin kwarin gwiwa wanda ya kara tasirin karin harajin amfani da kayayyaki a watan Oktoban 2019. Tare da raguwar samar da motoci, bukatar karfe ta ragu da kashi 16.8 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020. Farfadowar bukatar karfe a Japan zai kasance matsakaici, wanda hakan ke haifar da farfadowar bangaren motoci tare da farfado da fitar da kayayyaki da kuma injunan masana'antu saboda farfadowar kudaden jari a duk duniya, a cewar Worldsteel.
A yankin Ƙungiyar Kasashen Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya (ASEAN), cikas ga ayyukan gine-gine ya shafi kasuwar ƙarfe da ke bunƙasa cikin sauri, kuma buƙatar ƙarfe ta ragu da kashi 11.9 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020.
Malaysia (wadda ke shigo da tarin tarkace daga Amurka) da kuma Philippines su ne suka fi shan wahala, yayin da Vietnam da Indonesia suka ga raguwar bukatar karfe kadan. Farfadowa za ta faru ne ta hanyar sake farfado da ayyukan gine-gine da yawon bude ido a hankali, wanda zai hanzarta a shekarar 2022.
A ƙasar Sin, ɓangaren gine-gine ya samu sauƙi daga watan Afrilun 2020 zuwa gaba, tare da tallafin jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa. A shekarar 2021 zuwa gaba, ci gaban saka hannun jari a gidaje na iya raguwa idan aka yi la'akari da umarnin gwamnati na rage ci gaban wannan fanni.
Zuba jari a ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa a shekarar 2020 ya ruwaito raguwar ci gaban da kashi 0.9 cikin 100. Duk da haka, yayin da gwamnatin kasar Sin ta fara wasu sabbin ayyuka don tallafawa tattalin arziki, ana sa ran ci gaban jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa zai karu a shekarar 2021 kuma zai ci gaba da shafar bukatar karafa a shekarar 2022.
A fannin masana'antu, samar da motoci yana murmurewa sosai tun daga watan Mayu na 2020. A duk shekarar 2020, samar da motoci ya ragu da kashi 1.4 cikin 100 kacal. Sauran sassan masana'antu sun nuna ci gaba saboda yawan buƙatar fitar da kayayyaki zuwa ƙasashen waje.
Gabaɗaya a China, ana sa ran amfani da ƙarfe ya karu da kashi 9.1 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2021, ana sa ran matakan ƙarfafa gwiwa da aka gabatar a shekarar 2020 za su ci gaba da aiki don tabbatar da ci gaba da bunƙasa tattalin arziki. Sakamakon haka, yawancin sassan da ke cin ƙarfe za su nuna matsakaicin matsayi. Ƙungiyar Karfe ta Duniya (Worldsteel) da ke Brussels ta fitar da hasashenta na ɗan gajeren lokaci na 2021 da 2022. Worldsteel ta yi hasashen cewa buƙatar ƙarfe za ta ƙaru da kashi 5.8 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2021 don isa kusan tan biliyan 1.88.
Yawan fitar da ƙarfe ya ragu da kashi 0.2 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2022, buƙatar ƙarfe za ta ƙara samun ƙaruwar kashi 2.7 cikin ɗari don isa kusan tan biliyan 1.925 na metric.
Hasashen da ake yi a yanzu, in ji Worldsteel, ya ɗauka cewa "ci gaba da yaduwar cutar [COVID-19] a karo na biyu ko na uku zai daidaita a kwata na biyu kuma za a sami ci gaba mai ɗorewa kan allurar riga-kafi, wanda zai ba da damar komawa ga al'ada a manyan ƙasashe masu amfani da ƙarfe."
"Duk da mummunan tasirin da annobar ta yi wa rayuka da abubuwan more rayuwa, masana'antar ƙarfe ta duniya ta yi sa'ar kawo ƙarshen shekarar 2020 da ƙaramin raguwar buƙatar ƙarfe," in ji Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, shugaban Kwamitin Tattalin Arziki na Duniya.
Kwamitin ya ce har yanzu akwai "rashin tabbas sosai a sauran shekarar 2021," yana mai cewa ci gaban kwayar cutar da ci gaban allurar riga-kafi, janye manufofin kuɗi da na kuɗi masu tallafawa, siyasa ta ƙasa da kuma rikicin ciniki duk na iya shafar murmurewa da aka bayyana a cikin hasashensa.
A cikin ƙasashe masu tasowa, "Bayan faduwar tattalin arziki a kwata na biyu na 2020, masana'antu gabaɗaya sun sake farfaɗowa cikin sauri a kwata na uku, galibi saboda matakan ƙarfafa tattalin arziki masu yawa da kuma rage buƙatar da ke taruwa," in ji Worldsteel.
Duk da haka, ƙungiyar ta lura cewa matakan ayyuka sun kasance ƙasa da matakin kafin barkewar annoba a ƙarshen 2020. Sakamakon haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a ƙasashen da suka ci gaba ta sami raguwar kashi 12.7 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020.
An yi hasashen cewa Worldsteel, "Za mu ga farfadowa mai yawa a shekarar 2021 da 2022, tare da karuwar kashi 8.2 da kashi 4.2, bi da bi. Duk da haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a shekarar 2022 ba za ta kai matsayin 2019 ba."
Gwamnati ta fara wasu sabbin ayyuka don tallafawa tattalin arziki, ana sa ran ci gaban jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa zai karu a shekarar 2021 kuma zai ci gaba da shafar bukatar karafa a shekarar 2022.
A fannin masana'antu, samar da motoci yana murmurewa sosai tun daga watan Mayu na 2020. A duk shekarar 2020, samar da motoci ya ragu da kashi 1.4 cikin 100 kacal. Sauran sassan masana'antu sun nuna ci gaba saboda yawan buƙatar fitar da kayayyaki zuwa ƙasashen waje.
Gabaɗaya a China, ana sa ran amfani da ƙarfe ya ƙaru da kashi 9.1 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2021, ana sa ran matakan ƙarfafa gwiwa da aka gabatar a shekarar 2020 za su ci gaba da aiki don tabbatar da ci gaba da samun ci gaba mai ma'ana a tattalin arziki. Sakamakon haka, yawancin sassan da ke amfani da ƙarfe za su nuna matsakaicin ci gaba kuma ana sa ran buƙatar ƙarfe ta China za ta ƙaru da kashi 3 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2021. A shekarar 2022, ƙaruwar buƙatar ƙarfe za ta "rage zuwa kashi ɗaya yayin da tasirin ƙarfafa gwiwa ta shekarar 2020 ya ragu, kuma gwamnati ta mai da hankali kan ƙarin ci gaba mai ɗorewa," a cewar Worldsteel.
Ana sa ran ci gaba da buƙatar ƙarfe a China za ta ƙaru da kashi 3 cikin ɗari a shekarar 2021. A shekarar 2022, ƙaruwar buƙatar ƙarfe za ta "rage zuwa kashi ɗaya yayin da tasirin ƙarfafawar 2020 ke raguwa, kuma gwamnati ta mai da hankali kan ci gaba mai ɗorewa," a cewar Worldsteel.
Lokacin Saƙo: Satumba-28-2021