Ƙungiyar Ƙarfe ta Duniya (World Steel) mai hedkwata a Brussels ta fitar da hasashenta na ɗan gajeren zango na 2021 da 2022. Ƙarfe na hasashen buƙatun ƙarfe zai karu da kashi 5.8 cikin ɗari a 2021 don kaiwa kusan tan biliyan 1.88.
Abubuwan da ake fitarwa karafa sun ragu da kashi 0.2 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2022, bukatar karafa za ta samu karin girma na kashi 2.7 cikin dari zuwa kusan tan biliyan 1.925.
Hasashen na yanzu, in ji Worldsteel, yana ɗaukar “ci gaba da raƙuman ruwa na biyu ko na uku na cututtukan [COVID-19] za su daidaita a cikin kwata na biyu kuma za a sami ci gaba a kan allurar rigakafi, wanda zai ba da damar komawa ga daidaito a cikin manyan ƙasashe masu amfani da ƙarfe. .”
Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, shugaban Kwamitin Tattalin Arziki na Duniya ya ce "Duk da mummunan tasirin barkewar cutar kan rayuka da rayuwar jama'a, masana'antar karafa ta duniya ta yi sa'a ta kawo karshen shekarar 2020 tare da dan kankanin matsalar karancin karfe."
Kwamitin ya ce har yanzu akwai "tabbataccen rashin tabbas ga sauran shekarar 2021," yana mai cewa juyin halittar kwayar cutar da ci gaban alluran rigakafi, janye manufofin kasafin kudi da na kudi, siyasa da rikice-rikicen kasuwanci duk na iya shafar murmurewa da aka zayyana a cikin hasashen sa.
A cikin ƙasashen da suka ci gaba, "Bayan faɗuwar cikin 'yanci a cikin ayyukan tattalin arziƙi a cikin kwata na biyu na 2020, masana'antu gabaɗaya sun sake bunƙasa cikin sauri a cikin kwata na uku, galibi saboda manyan matakan haɓaka kasafin kuɗi da fitar da buƙatun da ake buƙata," in ji Worldsteel.
Kungiyar ta lura cewa, duk da haka, matakan ayyuka sun kasance ƙasa da matakin da aka riga aka yi fama da shi a ƙarshen 2020. Sakamakon haka, buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya da suka ci gaba ya sami raguwar kashi 12.7 cikin ɗari a cikin 2020.
Hasashen Worldsteel, "Za mu ga farfadowa sosai a cikin 2021 da 2022, tare da haɓaka kashi 8.2 da kashi 4.2, bi da bi.Koyaya, buƙatun ƙarfe a cikin 2022 har yanzu zai faɗi ƙasa da matakan 2019. ”
Duk da manyan matakan kamuwa da cuta, tattalin arzikin Amurka ya sami damar farfadowa da ƙarfi daga igiyar ruwa ta farko godiya a wani bangare ga ƙwaƙƙwaran kasafin kuɗi wanda ke tallafawa amfani.Wannan ya taimaka masana'antar kayayyaki masu ɗorewa, amma gabaɗayan buƙatun ƙarfe na Amurka ya faɗi da kashi 18 cikin ɗari a cikin 2020.
Gwamnatin Biden ta ba da sanarwar kudirin kasafin kudi na dala tiriliyan 2 wanda ya ƙunshi tanadi don saka hannun jari na abubuwan more rayuwa cikin shekaru masu yawa.Shirin zai kasance cikin tattaunawa a Majalisa.
Kusan kowane shirin da zai haifar zai sami yuwuwar yuwuwar buƙatun ƙarfe.Koyaya, duk da wannan da ci gaba cikin sauri a cikin alluran rigakafin, dawo da buƙatun ƙarfe za a takura a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci ta hanyar rashin ƙarfi a cikin gine-ginen da ba na zama ba da makamashi.Ana sa ran bangaren kera motoci zai murmure sosai.
A cikin Tarayyar Turai, sassan masu amfani da karafa sun sha wahala sosai daga matakan kulle-kulle na farko a cikin 2020 amma sun sami ƙarfi fiye da yadda ake tsammanin sake dawo da ayyukan masana'antu saboda matakan tallafi na gwamnati da buƙatun da ake buƙata, in ji Worldsteel.
Dangane da haka, buƙatar ƙarfe a cikin 2020 a cikin ƙasashen EU 27 da Burtaniya ya ƙare tare da mafi kyawun tsammanin kashi 11.4 cikin ɗari.
"Murmurewa a cikin 2021 da 2022 ana sa ran za su kasance cikin koshin lafiya, tare da farfadowa a duk sassan da ake amfani da karafa, musamman bangaren kera motoci da ayyukan gine-ginen jama'a," in ji Worldsteel.Ya zuwa yanzu, ci gaba da murmurewa na EU bai taka kara ya karya ba sakamakon ci gaba da ayyukan COVID-19, amma yanayin lafiyar nahiyar “ya kasance mai rauni,” kungiyar ta kara da cewa.
Tanderun wutar lantarki da ke shigo da wutar lantarki (EAF) mai nauyi mai nauyi Turkiyya "ya sha wahala mai zurfi a cikin 2019 saboda rikicin kudin 2018, [amma] ya ci gaba da farfadowar da ya fara a karshen 2019 saboda ayyukan gini," in ji Worldsteel.Za a ci gaba da farfadowar da ake yi a can, kuma ana sa ran bukatar karafa za ta dawo kan matsalar kudin da ake ciki a shekarar 2022, in ji kungiyar.
Tattalin arzikin Koriya ta Kudu, wata al'ummar da ke shigo da kaya, ta tsere daga babban koma baya na babban kayan cikin gida saboda ingantacciyar hanyar sarrafa cutar, kuma ta ga kyakkyawan ci gaba a cikin saka hannun jari da gine-gine.
Koyaya, buƙatun ƙarfe ya sami kwangila da kashi 8 a cikin 2020 saboda raguwa a cikin sassan kera motoci da na jirgin ruwa.A cikin 2021-22, waɗannan sassa biyu za su jagoranci farfadowa, wanda za a ƙara samun goyan baya ta hanyar ci gaba da ƙarfafa zuba jari da shirye-shiryen gwamnati.Koyaya, buƙatun ƙarfe a cikin 2022 ba a tsammanin zai koma matakin riga-kafin cutar.
Indiya ta sha wahala sosai daga tsawaita lokacin kulle-kulle, wanda ya kawo dakatar da yawancin ayyukan masana'antu da gine-gine.Koyaya, tattalin arzikin yana murmurewa sosai tun daga watan Agusta, (mafi kyau fiye da yadda ake tsammani, in ji Worldsteel), tare da sake dawo da ayyukan gwamnati da buƙatun amfani.
Bukatar karafa ta Indiya ta ragu da kashi 13.7 cikin dari a shekarar 2020 amma ana sa ran za ta sake dawowa da kashi 19.8 zuwa sama da matakin 2019 a shekarar 2021, mai yiwuwa yana ba da labari mai dadi ga masu fitar da takin zamani.Ajandar gwamnati ta ci gaba za ta haifar da buƙatun ƙarfe na Indiya, yayin da saka hannun jari masu zaman kansu zai ɗauki lokaci mai tsawo don murmurewa.
Har ila yau, tattalin arzikin Japan ya fuskanci mummunan rauni daga barkewar cutar saboda katsewar ayyukan tattalin arziki da rauni da rauni wanda ya kara tasirin hauhawar harajin abinci a watan Oktoba na 2019.Tare da faɗuwar faɗuwar faɗuwar motoci ta musamman, buƙatun ƙarfe ya ragu da kashi 16.8 cikin ɗari a cikin 2020. Farfadowar buƙatun ƙarfe na Japan zai kasance matsakaici, wanda ya haifar da koma baya a fannin kera motoci tare da dawo da fitar da kaya da injunan masana'antu saboda farfadowar duniya a cikin kashe kuɗi. , a cewar Worldsteel.
A cikin Ƙungiyar Ƙasashen Kudu maso Gabashin Asiya (ASEAN), cikas ga ayyukan gine-gine sun shafi kasuwar karafa da ke haɓaka cikin sauri, kuma an sami kwangilar buƙatar karafa da kashi 11.9 a cikin 2020.
Malesiya (wadda ke shigo da tarkace mai yawa daga Amurka) da Philippines ne aka fi fama da cutar, yayin da Vietnam da Indonesiya suka ga raguwar buƙatun ƙarfe kawai.Maidowa za ta kasance ta hanyar sake dawo da ayyukan gine-gine da yawon buɗe ido sannu a hankali, wanda zai haɓaka cikin 2022.
A kasar Sin, bangaren gine-gine ya samu farfadowa cikin sauri daga watan Afrilun shekarar 2020 zuwa gaba, wanda aka samu tallafi daga zuba jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa.Don 2021 zuwa gaba, haɓakar saka hannun jari na gidaje na iya raguwa bisa la'akari da jagororin gwamnati don rage haɓakar haɓaka a wannan fannin.
Zuba hannun jari a ayyukan samar da ababen more rayuwa a shekarar 2020 ya ba da rahoton karuwar zafin da kashi 0.9 cikin dari.Duk da haka, yayin da gwamnatin kasar Sin ta kaddamar da wasu sabbin ayyuka don tallafawa tattalin arzikin kasar, ana sa ran samun bunkasuwar zuba jari a fannin samar da ababen more rayuwa a shekarar 2021, kuma za ta ci gaba da shafar bukatar karafa a shekarar 2022.
A cikin masana'antun masana'antu, samar da motoci yana murmurewa sosai tun daga watan Mayu 2020. A duk shekarar 2020, samar da motoci ya ragu da kashi 1.4 kawai.Sauran sassan masana'antu sun nuna girma saboda tsananin bukatar fitar da kayayyaki.
Gabaɗaya a kasar Sin, da alama amfani da karafa ya karu da kashi 9.1 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2021, ana sa ran matakan kara kuzari da aka bullo da su a shekarar 2020 za su ci gaba da kasancewa a wurin don tabbatar da ci gaba da bunkasar tattalin arziki.Sakamakon haka, yawancin sassan da ke amfani da ƙarfe za su nuna matsakaicin Ƙungiyar Ƙarfe ta Duniya (World Steel) ta Brussels ta fitar da hangen nesa na gajeren zango na 2021 da 2022. Worldsteel kiyasin bukatar karfe zai karu da kashi 5.8 a cikin 2021 don kaiwa kusan metric biliyan 1.88. ton.
Abubuwan da ake fitarwa karafa sun ragu da kashi 0.2 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2022, bukatar karafa za ta samu karin girma na kashi 2.7 cikin dari zuwa kusan tan biliyan 1.925.
Hasashen na yanzu, in ji Worldsteel, yana ɗaukar “ci gaba da raƙuman ruwa na biyu ko na uku na cututtukan [COVID-19] za su daidaita a cikin kwata na biyu kuma za a sami ci gaba a kan allurar rigakafi, wanda zai ba da damar komawa ga daidaito a cikin manyan ƙasashe masu amfani da ƙarfe. .”
Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, shugaban Kwamitin Tattalin Arziki na Duniya ya ce "Duk da mummunan tasirin barkewar cutar kan rayuka da rayuwar jama'a, masana'antar karafa ta duniya ta yi sa'a ta kawo karshen shekarar 2020 tare da dan kankanin matsalar karancin karfe."
Kwamitin ya ce har yanzu akwai "tabbataccen rashin tabbas ga sauran shekarar 2021," yana mai cewa juyin halittar kwayar cutar da ci gaban alluran rigakafi, janye manufofin kasafin kudi da na kudi, siyasa da rikice-rikicen kasuwanci duk na iya shafar murmurewa da aka zayyana a cikin hasashen sa.
A cikin ƙasashen da suka ci gaba, "Bayan faɗuwar cikin 'yanci a cikin ayyukan tattalin arziƙi a cikin kwata na biyu na 2020, masana'antu gabaɗaya sun sake bunƙasa cikin sauri a cikin kwata na uku, galibi saboda manyan matakan haɓaka kasafin kuɗi da fitar da buƙatun da ake buƙata," in ji Worldsteel.
Kungiyar ta lura cewa, duk da haka, matakan ayyuka sun kasance ƙasa da matakin da aka riga aka yi fama da shi a ƙarshen 2020. Sakamakon haka, buƙatun ƙarfe na duniya da suka ci gaba ya sami raguwar kashi 12.7 cikin ɗari a cikin 2020.
Hasashen Worldsteel, "Za mu ga farfadowa sosai a cikin 2021 da 2022, tare da haɓaka kashi 8.2 da kashi 4.2, bi da bi.Koyaya, buƙatun ƙarfe a cikin 2022 har yanzu zai faɗi ƙasa da matakan 2019. ”
Gwamnati ta kaddamar da wasu sabbin ayyuka don tallafawa tattalin arziki, ana sa ran ci gaban zuba jarin kayayyakin more rayuwa zai tashi a shekarar 2021 kuma ya ci gaba da shafar bukatar karafa a shekarar 2022.
A cikin masana'antun masana'antu, samar da motoci yana murmurewa sosai tun daga watan Mayu 2020. A duk shekarar 2020, samar da motoci ya ragu da kashi 1.4 kawai.Sauran sassan masana'antu sun nuna girma saboda tsananin bukatar fitar da kayayyaki.
Gabaɗaya a kasar Sin, da alama amfani da karafa ya karu da kashi 9.1 cikin 100 a shekarar 2020. A shekarar 2021, ana sa ran matakan kara kuzari da aka bullo da su a shekarar 2020 za su ci gaba da kasancewa a wurin don tabbatar da ci gaba da bunkasar tattalin arziki.Sakamakon haka, yawancin sassan da ake amfani da karafa za su nuna matsakaicin girma kuma ana sa ran bukatar karafa ta kasar Sin za ta karu da kashi 3 cikin 100 a shekarar 2021. A shekarar 2022, karuwar bukatar karafa za ta ragu zuwa kashi dari yayin da sakamakon kara kuzari na shekarar 2020 ya ragu, kuma gwamnati yana mai da hankali kan ƙarin ci gaba mai dorewa,” a cewar Worldsteel.
Ana sa ran karuwar bukatar karafa na kasar Sin zai karu da kashi 3 cikin 100 a shekarar 2021. A shekarar 2022, karuwar bukatar karafa za ta ragu zuwa kashi dari yayin da sakamakon kara kuzari na shekarar 2020 ya ragu, kuma gwamnati ta mai da hankali kan ci gaba mai dorewa, a cewar Worldsteel.
Lokacin aikawa: Satumba-28-2021