Kwanan nan, tare da sannu-sannu aiwatar da ingantattun manufofin macro, an inganta amincewar kasuwa yadda ya kamata, kuma farashin tabo na baƙar fata ya ci gaba da hauhawa. Farashin tabo na taman da ake shigowa da su daga kasashen waje ya yi wani sabon salo a cikin watanni hudu da suka gabata, farashin Coke ya tashi sau uku a cikin kankanin lokaci, kuma karafa na ci gaba da yin karfi. Abubuwan da aka samar da kayan ƙarfe ya karu kaɗan, buƙatun da ake buƙata a lokacin rani ya ragu a hankali, kuma samarwa da buƙata ya ci gaba da raunana. Ƙarfin ɗanyen mai da farashin man fetur, haɓakar samar da yanke tsammanin kusa da bikin bazara, da ƙananan matakan ƙididdiga sun zama manyan abubuwan da ke tallafawa farashin karfe a cikin amfani na yau da kullum.
shigo da fitarwa
Daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba, yawan shigo da tama na ƙarfe da yawansa ya kai ton biliyan 1.016, kowace shekara -2.1%, wanda aka shigo da shi a watan Nuwamba ya kai tan miliyan 98.846, wata-wata +4.1%, da kuma shekara-shekara -5.8%. Jimlar fitar da kayayyakin karafa ya kai tan miliyan 61.948, + 0.4% a duk shekara, wanda ya juya daga raguwa zuwa karuwa a karon farko a cikin duk shekara. Daga cikin su, fitar da kayayyaki a watan Nuwamba sun hada da ton miliyan 5.590, + 7.8% a wata-wata da + 28.2% kowace shekara. Jimlar shigo da kayayyakin karafa ya kai tan miliyan 9.867, wanda ya kasance -25.6% a duk shekara, daga ciki an shigo da ton 752,000 a watan Nuwamba, wanda ya kasance -2.6% a wata-wata da -47.2% a duk shekara. . A watan Nuwamba, ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya ya ci gaba da raguwa, masana'antun masana'antu sun yi kasala, kuma bukatar kayayyakin karafa da ma'adinan karfe a ketare ya kasance mai rauni. Ana sa ran adadin karafa da kasar ta ke fitarwa zai dan dan samu sauyi a watan Disamba, kuma yawan shigo da kayayyaki zai yi kasa a gwiwa. Haka kuma, gaba daya samar da tama a duniya za ta ci gaba da zama sako-sako, kuma adadin takin da kasar ta ke shigo da shi zai dan yi kadan.
Karfe samar
A karshen watan Nuwamba, kididdigar mahimmin kididdigar da CISA ta yi kan matsakaita na yau da kullum na masana'antun karfe da karafa sun kai tan miliyan 2.0285 na danyen karfe, +1.32% daga watan da ya gabata; 1.8608 miliyan ton na ƙarfe na alade, + 2.62% daga watan da ya gabata; 2.0656 ton miliyan na samfuran karfe, + 4.86% daga watan da ya gabata + 2.0%). Bisa kididdigar da aka yi na manyan masana'antun ƙarfe da karafa na ƙididdiga, matsakaicin adadin yau da kullun na ƙasa a ƙarshen Nuwamba ya kasance tan miliyan 2.7344 na ɗanyen ƙarfe, + 0.60% kowane wata; 2.3702 miliyan ton na ƙarfe na alade, + 1.35% wata-wata; 3.6118 miliyan ton na karfe, + 1.62% wata-wata.
Ma'amaloli da Inventory
A makon da ya gabata (mako na biyu na Disamba, daga 5 ga Disamba zuwa 9 ga Disamba, daidai da ke ƙasa) ingantawa da daidaita manufofin rigakafin cutar yana da wani haɓaka ga kasuwa, yana haifar da ƙaramin haɓakar buƙatun ƙarfe na ƙasa, amma yana da wahala canza faɗuwar kasuwa gabaɗaya, lokacin kashe-lokacin yanayi Halayen har yanzu a bayyane suke, kuma buƙatun ƙarfe na ƙasa ya ci gaba da kasancewa ƙasa kaɗan. Hasashen hasashe a kasuwar karafa na gajeren lokaci ya yi zafi, kuma yawan cinikin kayayyakin karafa a kasuwar tabo har yanzu ba a yi kasa a gwiwa ba. Matsakaicin girman ciniki na yau da kullun na mako-mako na samfuran ƙarfe na ginin ya kasance tan 629,000, + 10.23% kowane wata da -19.93% kowace shekara. Ƙarfe na zamantakewar jama'a da ƙididdiga na niƙa ya ƙaru kaɗan. Jimillar kididdigar kayan aikin niƙa na zamantakewa da ƙarfe na manyan nau'ikan ƙarfe guda biyar shine tan miliyan 8.5704 da tan miliyan 4.3098, bi da bi, + 0.58% da + 0.29% kowane wata, da -10.98% da -7.84% shekara-shekara. shekara. Ana sa ran cewa a wannan makon, yawan cinikin kayayyakin karafa zai dan yi kadan.
Farashin danyen mai
Coke, matsakaicin tsohon masana'anta na coke na ƙarfe na farko a makon da ya gabata ya kasance yuan 2748.2 a kowace ton, + 3.26% kowane wata da + 2.93% a shekara. Kwanan nan, zagaye na uku na karin farashin coke ya sauka. Sakamakon hauhawar farashin coking kwal a lokaci guda, ribar da ake samu a masana'antun sarrafa kayan abinci har yanzu ba su da ƙarfi. Kayan coke na masana'antun ƙarfe na ƙasa yana da ƙasa. Yin la'akari da buƙatun ajiyar hunturu da sake cikawa, farashin kayan ƙarfe da aka ɗora ya tashi a hankali. Ga baƙin ƙarfe, farashin CIF na gaba na 62% da aka shigo da tama mai kyau a karshen mako ya kasance US $ 112.11 kowace ton, + 5.23% wata-wata, + 7.14% shekara-shekara, kuma matsakaicin farashin mako-mako ya kasance + 7.4% wata-wata. Makon da ya gabata, kayan aikin ƙarfe na ƙarfe na tashar tashar jiragen ruwa da tanderun fashewa ya ƙaru kaɗan, yayin da matsakaicin narkakken ƙarfe na yau da kullun ya ragu kaɗan. Gabaɗaya wadata da buƙatun tama na ƙarfe ya kasance sako-sako. Ana sa ran cewa a cikin wannan mako, farashin karafa zai yi tashin gwauron zabi. Don karafa, farashin kayan karafa na cikin gida ya tashi kadan a makon da ya gabata. Matsakaicin farashin tarkacen karfe sama da 6mm a cikin biranen 45 ya kasance yuan 2569.8 akan kowace tan, wanda ya kasance + 2.20% a wata-wata da -14.08% kowace shekara. Bangaren kasa da kasa, farashin karafa ya tashi sosai a Turai, inda Rotterdam ya karu da kashi 4.67 a kowane wata, yayin da Turkiyya ta karu da kashi 3.78% a duk wata. Farashin jarin karfe na Amurka ya kasance +5.49% a wata-wata. Tare da sannu a hankali aiwatar da ingantattun manufofin macro, ci gaba da inganta rigakafin cutar gida da manufofin kula da su, da adana tarkacen karafa na hunturu a wasu masana'antu, an samar da wasu tallafi don rage farashin karfe. Ana sa ran cewa a wannan makon, farashin karafa zai kara karfi cikin dan kankanin zango.
farashin karfe
Farashin kasuwar karafa ya dan tashi a makon jiya. Dangane da kididdigar kungiyar Iron da Karfe ta kasar Sin, matsakaicin farashin kowace ton na karfe na manyan nau'ikan karfe takwas shine yuan 4332, + 0.83% kowane wata da -17.52% kowace shekara. Daga hangen nesa na samfuran karfe, ban da bututu marasa ƙarfi, wanda shine -0.4% a wata-wata, sauran manyan nau'ikan duk sun tashi kaɗan, cikin 2%.
Makon da ya gabata, kasuwar karafa gabaɗaya ta ci gaba da rashin ƙarfi da yanayin buƙatu na makon da ya gabata. Yawan aiki na tanderun fashewa ya ƙaru kaɗan, matsakaicin fitowar baƙin ƙarfe na yau da kullun ya ragu kaɗan, kuma kayan aikin ƙarfe ya ƙaru kaɗan. A bangaren bukatu, a karkashin ingantacciyar haɓakar waje, ayyukan buƙatun kasuwa ya karu sosai, yayin da tabo da amfani da samfuran ƙarfe ya kasance mai slugation yayin da hunturu ke zurfafa. Taimakawa da dalilai kamar ƙaƙƙarfan farashin mai da ɗanyen mai, ƙananan matakan ƙira, da ƙarin tsammanin raguwar samarwa a kusa da bikin bazara, faɗuwar faɗuwar farashin ƙarfe ba ta da ƙarfi. Ana sa ran farashin karafa zai ci gaba da tashi a wannan makon. (Cibiyar Nazarin Karfe Ruixiang)
Lokacin aikawa: Dec-13-2022