Turai ta shagaltu a kwanan nan. An shafe su da yawan iskar man fetur da iskar gas da abinci da ke biyo baya, amma a yanzu sun fuskanci matsalar karafa da ke kunno kai.
Karfe shine tushen tattalin arzikin zamani. Tun daga injin wanki da motoci zuwa titin jirgin kasa da na bene, dukkansu kayayyakin karfe ne. Ana iya cewa muna rayuwa a cikin duniyar karfe.
Sai dai Bloomberg ya yi gargadin cewa nan ba da dadewa ba karfe na iya zama abin alatu bayan rikicin Ukraine ya fara ruruwa a fadin Turai.
01 A ƙarƙashin ƙaƙƙarfan wadata, farashin karfe sun danna maɓallin "biyu".
Dangane da matsakaicin mota, karfe yana da kashi 60 cikin 100 na nauyinsa, kuma farashin wannan karafa ya tashi daga Yuro 400 kan kowace ton a farkon shekarar 2019 zuwa Yuro 1,250 kan kowace tan, kamar yadda bayanan duniya karafa suka nuna.
Musamman, farashin rebar na Turai ya karu zuwa rikodin € 1,140 akan kowace tan a makon da ya gabata, wanda ya karu da 150% daga ƙarshen 2019. A halin da ake ciki, farashin na'urar nada mai zafi ya kuma kai matsayi mai girma na kusan Yuro 1,400 a kowace ton, karuwar. kusan 250% daga gabanin cutar.
Daya daga cikin dalilan da suka sa farashin karafa na Turai ya yi tashin gwauron zabo, shi ne takunkuman da aka kakaba wa wasu karafa a Rasha, wanda kuma ya shafi 'yan kasuwa masu rinjaye a masana'antar karafa ta Rasha, wadda ita ce kasa ta uku a duniya wajen fitar da karafa da kuma na takwas na Ukraine.
Colin Richardson, darektan karafa a hukumar bayar da rahoto kan farashi Argus, ya kiyasta cewa Rasha da Ukraine tare sun kai kusan kashi uku na shigo da karafa na EU da kusan kashi 10% na bukatar kasashen Turai. Kuma dangane da shigo da rebar na Turai, Rasha, Belarus da Ukraine na iya yin lissafin kashi 60%, kuma suna mamaye babban kaso na kasuwa (babban karfen da aka kammala).
Bugu da kari, wani abin da ke damun karfe a Turai shi ne kusan kashi 40% na karfen da ake samarwa a Turai ana samar da su ne a cikin tanderun wutar lantarki ko kuma kananan injinan karafa, wadanda ke amfani da wutar lantarki mai yawa wajen juyar da karafa idan aka kwatanta da karfe da gawayi wajen yin karafa. Narke da ƙirƙira sabon ƙarfe. Wannan hanya ta sa ƙananan masana'antun karafa su zama masu dacewa da muhalli, amma a lokaci guda yana haifar da mummunar lalacewa, wato, yawan amfani da makamashi.
Yanzu, abin da Turai ta fi rasa shi ne makamashi.
A farkon wannan watan, farashin wutar lantarki a Turai a takaice ya zarce Yuro 500 a kowace sa'a megawatt, kusan sau 10 kamar yadda yake a gaban rikicin Ukraine. Tashin farashin wutar lantarki ya tilastawa wasu kananan masana'antun sarrafa karafa rufe ko rage kayan da ake fitarwa, inda kawai suke aiki da cikakken iko a cikin dare lokacin da farashin wutar lantarki ya yi arha, lamarin da ake takawa daga Spain zuwa Jamus.
02 Farashin karafa na iya tashi cikin firgici, yana sa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya yi muni
Yanzu akwai damuwa masana'antu cewa farashin karafa na iya tashi da sauri, maiyuwa da wani kashi 40% zuwa kusan Yuro 2,000 ton, kafin bukatar ta ragu.
Shugabannin kamfanonin sarrafa karafa sun ce akwai yuwuwar sake dawo da karafa idan farashin wutar lantarki ya ci gaba da hauhawa, wanda hakan na iya sa wasu kananan masana'antun turai rufe, lamarin da zai haifar da firgici da saye da sayar da karafa. babba.
Sannan ga babban bankin kasar, hauhawar farashin karafa na iya kara hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. A wannan lokacin rani, gwamnatocin Turai na iya fuskantar haɗarin hauhawar farashin ƙarfe da kuma yuwuwar ƙarancin wadatar kayayyaki. Rebar, wanda aka fi amfani da shi don ƙarfafa kankare, zai iya yin ƙarancin wadata nan ba da jimawa ba.
Don haka abin da ke faruwa yanzu shine Turai na iya buƙatar tashi da sauri. Bayan haka, bisa la'akari da abubuwan da suka faru a baya, tashin hankali na samar da kayayyaki yana yaduwa da sauri fiye da yadda ake tsammani, kuma tasirin ya fi yadda ake tsammani, da ƙananan kayayyaki na iya zama mahimmanci kamar karfe ga masana'antu da yawa. Mahimmanci, a halin yanzu akwai bakin karfe na carbon carbon na kasar Sin kawai da sauran kayayyaki, kuma karuwar har yanzu yana cikin kewayon karbuwa.
Lokacin aikawa: Afrilu-07-2022